← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Campbell & Rowley Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
Handmedownastar
SPECULATIVE Advised 13/8 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Handmedownastar (SR:109, 13/8) is the class-leader in this field by a clear margin and arrives off a last-time-out win with form reading 2132-1 — the rightmost digit confirms he won most recently, giving him peak-form credentials coming into this. Carrying 12-0 as top-weight is a concern, but at SR:109 he has a 5-7 point edge over the next best (Fairlawn Skipper SR:104, Belvedere Blast SR:102), and Nick Scholfield's 17% strike rate in a 98-runner sample is solid. The MarkMv:+5 is a small penalty for the win, manageable at this class level. The main reservation is Sean Bowen's 7% jockey strike rate and the unknown distance/going fit (DistFit:? GoingFit:?), but the overall ability edge and recency of form make him the standout pick. Each-way alternative: Belvedere Blast. Main danger: Belvedere Blast — Belvedere Blast (SR:102, 6/1) has steamed in dramatically (Mkt:in25%) — the sharpest market move in the field — and at 10lb below the favourite's weight (11-6 vs 12-0) carries a meaningful lbs advantage that could offset the SR gap on good-to-soft ground.
Full result
Winner: Rauzan (IRE) at SP 8/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Rauzan 17/2
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2
Nottodaybobo 7/1
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3
Secret Secret 4/1
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4
Enya 14/1
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5
Handmedownastar Fox #1 2/1
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Fairlawn Skipper Fox #3 9/2
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Dinons 20/1
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Belvedere Blast Fox #2 17/2
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Ballyearl 33/1
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Big Gypsy King 40/1
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Masterminding -
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Dusky Days -
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Well Educated -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Handmedownastar 13/8 5TH
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2
Belvedere Blast 6/1
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3
Fairlawn Skipper 4/1