← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Fgh Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Pour Les Filles
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/1 SP 6/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Pour Les Filles (SR 114, 5/1) is the most compelling case in this modest Class 3 field. The market has shortened 33% — the sharpest move in the race — pointing to significant stable confidence from the Mickey Bowen yard. Dropping two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2) and running off a mark 3lb below last win (MarkMv:-3) creates a genuinely favourable handicap position, and the horse has proven distance form (DistFit:+) over this 2m5f trip. Top-weight at 12-2 is a concern, but the class relief and market move more than compensate, and Bowen's yard sends its money with Sean D Bowen in the plate — a deliberate booking signal at a track where this horse already has two place efforts (Course:W0P2). Each-way alternative: Sean Og. Main danger: King Roly — King Roly (SR 119, 3/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field, has shortened 19% in the market, and James Bowen's 18% strike rate is the best jockey booking on the card — the Bowen yard may well be running King Roly as the #1 string despite the class rise, and the SR edge is real.
Full result
Winner: Pour Les Filles (GB) at SP 6/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Pour Les Filles Fox #1 9/2
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2
King Roly Fox #3 3/1
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3
Karnaval Point 13/2
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4
Sean Og Fox #2 7/2
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5
Jack Sprat 6/1
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6
Bleu d'Enfer 16/1
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7
Passengerontheship Fox #4 13/2
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—
Cossack Chach 20/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Pour Les Filles 5/1 SP 6/1 🏆 WON
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2
Sean Og 7/2 🏁 4TH
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3
King Roly 3/1 🥈 2ND
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4
Passengerontheship 11/2 7TH