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Dragonbet Welsh Racing Festival 9th-11th Oct Nursery Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Crystal Kraken
MEDIUM Advised 10/11 Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Crystal Kraken (SR:71, 10/11) is the clear class leader in this field, with a SR 5 points clear of the next best Our Fella (SR:66) and 10+ points ahead of the rest. The horse carries 9-5, identical to Our Fella and Lion Of Persia, so there is no weight disadvantage to offset the rating superiority. Crucially, Crystal Kraken has a proven DistFit:+ record at 5f — the only runner in the field with a positive distance flag — and the market has steamed in 14% since opening, confirming professional support. Trainer Dylan Cunha (10%) has booked Rossa Ryan (16% career SR), a clear upgrade jockey booking that signals stable confidence. Each-way alternative: Our Fella. Main danger: Devon Angel — Devon Angel's 50% market move in is the most aggressive steam in the field and, despite the 2-day turnaround and DistFit:- flag, connections clearly believe she is primed to go close at a price of 9/2.
Full result
Winner: Naval Cop (GB) at SP 11/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Naval Cop 13/2
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2
Devon Angel Fox #3 4/1
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3
Crystal Kraken Fox #1 5/6
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4
Our Fella Fox #2 5/1
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5
Courseyoudo 18/1
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—
Lion Of Persia 9/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Crystal Kraken 10/11 🥉 3RD
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2
Our Fella 9/2 🏁 4TH
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3
Devon Angel 9/2 🥈 2ND