← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Runtech Ltd Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Rovinia
MEDIUM Advised 5/4 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Rovinia (SR:68, 5/4) is the standout on ability in this Class 6 field — the SR of 68 is comfortably clear of the next-best cluster at 55-58, and the recent form string 952221 shows a horse in progressive, consistent form with the rightmost digit a win. Carrying 9-7 is manageable for an SR leader of this magnitude, and Roger Teal's yard operates at 9% strike rate with 327 runners — a solid professional operation. The MarkMv:+3 means the mark has risen slightly since the last win, but in a Class 6 field of this quality that 3lb penalty is negligible given the SR gap. Owen Lewis (5lb claimer, 9% SR from 54 rides) preserves the weight advantage further, and the course placing (W0P1 at Chepstow) gives modest but relevant course familiarity. Each-way alternative: A Rose Adaay. Main danger: A Rose Adaay — A Rose Adaay (SR:55, 11/2) has steamed in 41% in the market, carries a light 9-0, holds three places at Chepstow (Course:W0P3) confirming course affinity, and the market confidence is the single strongest late signal in the race — something significant has prompted that move.
Full result
Winner: A Rose Adaay (GB) at SP 5/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
A Rose Adaay Fox #2 9/2
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2
Marisitta 10/1
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3
Rovinia Fox #1 11/8
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4
Lady Margret 18/1
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5
Eye Of The Water 12/1
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6
Angel's Call Fox #3 6/1
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7
Big Moonrise 28/1
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8
It's A Mugs Game 50/1
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9
Lady V Fox #4 13/2
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10
Kaiko 125/1
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11
Vape 16/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Rovinia 5/4 🥉 3RD
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2
A Rose Adaay 11/2 SP 5/2 🏆 WON
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3
Angel's Call 6/1 6TH
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4
Lady V 5/1 9TH