← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Geoff Lewis Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Eduardo Calderon
SPECULATIVE Advised 2/1 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Eduardo Calderon (SR:78, 2/1) holds a clear ability edge over every rival — his SR of 78 is 9 points clear of the next-best Oj Lifestyle (SR:69) and 14 points ahead of Super Hit (SR:64). The market has backed him in 23% since opening, reflecting genuine confidence in connections (Harry Eustace 13% strike rate with a capable jockey booking in Kaiya Fraser at 12%). Carrying only 9-1 — the second-lightest weight in the field — means his SR advantage is not offset by a punishing weight burden. Form of 7-2443 shows consistent competitiveness at this class level, with a recent 3rd and 4th suggesting he is rounding into form. Each-way alternative: Oj Lifestyle. Main danger: Super Hit — Super Hit (SR:64, 7/1) has a Course:W1P1 record at Epsom and is the only shortlisted runner to have shortened in the market (Mkt:in8%), giving it a real each-way threat if the course specialist angle proves decisive.
Full result
Winner: Tronido (GB) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Tronido 17/2
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2
Eduardo Calderon Fox #1 2/1
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3
Oj Lifestyle Fox #2 9/2
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4
Uniter 9/1
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5
Super Hit Fox #3 11/2
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6
Amused 6/1
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7
H Key Lails 18/1
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8
Here I Bow 11/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Eduardo Calderon 2/1 🥈 2ND
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2
Oj Lifestyle 9/2 🥉 3RD
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3
Super Hit 7/1 5TH