← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Classified Stakes (Div I)
Mr Fox’s call
Trucial Pearl
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Trucial Pearl (SR:65, 7/2) holds the highest Saturday Rating in the field and combines it with Course:W1P1 at Ripon — actual course form matters on a specialist track — plus a GoingFit:~ on today's good ground and a MarkMv:+2 that is easily absorbed at this level. The market is with the selection (Mkt:in9%), Joanna Mason carries an 11% strike rate, and a last-time-out run of '4' from a recent Form:653144 sequence shows consistent engagement. At 6 days since last run the horse is clearly training well and connections have chosen to run quickly, which at Class 6 usually signals confidence rather than desperation. Each-way alternative: Rogers Dream. Main danger: Rogers Dream — Rogers Dream (SR:54, 7/2, Mkt:in13%) carries the strongest market steam in the race — a 13% shortening — and is partnered by Oisin Murphy (21% career strike rate), a pairing that at Class 6 demands serious respect regardless of the moderate SR.
Full result
Winner: Rogers Dream (GB) at SP 11/4J. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Rogers Dream Fox #2 3/1
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2
Little Ted Fox #4 10/3
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3
Volenti Fox #3 10/3
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4
Copper And Five 14/1
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5
Trucial Pearl Fox #1 7/2
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6
Top Gun Tina 40/1
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7
Due To Shine 28/1
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8
Twin And Tonic 80/1
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9
Princess Coco 80/1
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10
Inspiring Speeches 8/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4