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Lecarrow Race

18:25 Roscommon Mon 31 Aug 2026 1m2f63y Good 5 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Hazdann silks

Hazdann

SPECULATIVE Advised 6/4 SP 1/1F Est. 38%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Hazdann (SR:102, 6/4) holds the clear SR advantage in this modest five-runner field and carries only 9-10, a manageable weight against the rated opposition. Critically, the market has shortened 11% since opening — meaningful in a race this small, suggesting informed money is landing on Weld's runner. The form string 91/4-7 shows inconsistency but the 85-day break with a deliberately timed return under Chris Hayes (11% strike rate on a small sample is respectable for this level) points to a horse produced fresh. Sinmara (SR:100) at 3/1 is the closest threat on ability but Hazdann's SR edge combined with the market move tips the balance. Each-way alternative: Sinmara. Main danger: Sinmara — Sinmara (SR:100, 3/1) is only 2 points below Hazdann on SR, carries the lightest weight in the field at 9-2 giving a real lbs advantage, J M Sheridan posts the best jockey strike rate (12%) of any rider in this race, and the O'Brien yard (15% career SR) will have this horse as their number-one runner given the superior SR over stablemates Dial Me In and Handshake.

Full result

Winner: Hazdann (IRE) at SP 1/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Hazdann silks Hazdann Fox #1 D K Weld · Chris Hayes 11/8
  2. 2 God Of Power silks God Of Power Andrew Slattery · Andrew Slattery 13/2
  3. 3 Dial Me In silks Dial Me In Fox #3 Joseph Patrick O'Brien · Declan McDonogh 3/1
  4. 4 Sinmara silks Sinmara Fox #2 Joseph Patrick O'Brien · J M Sheridan 3/1
  5. 5 Handshake silks Handshake Joseph Patrick O'Brien · Scott McCullagh 20/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Hazdann silks Hazdann 6/4 SP 1/1F 🏆 WON
  2. 2 Sinmara silks Sinmara 3/1 🏁 4TH
  3. 3 Dial Me In silks Dial Me In 3/1 🥉 3RD