← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Lecarrow Race
Mr Fox’s call
Hazdann
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/4 SP 1/1F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Hazdann (SR:102, 6/4) holds the clear SR advantage in this modest five-runner field and carries only 9-10, a manageable weight against the rated opposition. Critically, the market has shortened 11% since opening — meaningful in a race this small, suggesting informed money is landing on Weld's runner. The form string 91/4-7 shows inconsistency but the 85-day break with a deliberately timed return under Chris Hayes (11% strike rate on a small sample is respectable for this level) points to a horse produced fresh. Sinmara (SR:100) at 3/1 is the closest threat on ability but Hazdann's SR edge combined with the market move tips the balance. Each-way alternative: Sinmara. Main danger: Sinmara — Sinmara (SR:100, 3/1) is only 2 points below Hazdann on SR, carries the lightest weight in the field at 9-2 giving a real lbs advantage, J M Sheridan posts the best jockey strike rate (12%) of any rider in this race, and the O'Brien yard (15% career SR) will have this horse as their number-one runner given the superior SR over stablemates Dial Me In and Handshake.
Full result
Winner: Hazdann (IRE) at SP 1/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Hazdann Fox #1 11/8
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2
God Of Power 13/2
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3
Dial Me In Fox #3 3/1
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4
Sinmara Fox #2 3/1
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5
Handshake 20/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Hazdann 6/4 SP 1/1F 🏆 WON
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2
Sinmara 3/1 🏁 4TH
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3
Dial Me In 3/1 🥉 3RD