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Mr Fox’s call
Havana Jag
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Havana Jag (SR 66, 4/1, Wgt 8-9) carries the lightest competitive weight among the top-rated trio and is the only runner with a confirmed positive distance record (DistFit:+) at this 5f60y trip, giving it a clear edge over rivals who are unproven or poor at the distance. The market has shortened 19% — meaningful support in a 6-runner field — and two course placings (W0P2 at Brighton) confirm it handles this track. Its form string 444233 shows consistent late improvement, and a step up in class (↑1) is manageable given the weight advantage over higher-rated rivals. Trainer John Gallagher's 8% strike rate is modest but the jockey booking of Liam Wright (13%, 153) at a claiming weight is professional and purposeful. Each-way alternative: Beach Partee. Main danger: Beach Partee — Beach Partee (SR 67, 4/1, Wgt 8-7) carries the joint-lowest weight in the field, has a mark 7lb below its last win (MarkMv:-7), holds a course record of W1P2 at Brighton, and an 18% market move inward suggests its connections are confident despite the class rise.
Full result
Winner: Loleeta (GB) at SP 10/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Loleeta 15/2
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2
My Mate Mackley 11/2
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3
Beach Partee Fox #2 7/2
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4
Havana Jag Fox #1 9/2
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5
London Is Blue Fox #3 9/4
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6
Shining Guest 15/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3