← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Divot
MEDIUM Advised 7/4 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Divot (SR:71, 7/4, 11-2) is the standout on every meaningful metric. The SR of 71 is the field's highest by 6 points, and a form string of 357113 shows a horse in career-best form with back-to-back wins — the rightmost '3' being the most recent, suggesting a hard-fought but consistent effort at the tail of a hot run. Dropping one class (ClassMv:↓1) from the last run puts Divot in a more comfortable tier for this Class 6 heat, and proven distance fitness (DistFit:+) on good going (GoingFit:+) checks every environmental box. The market has shortened 15% since opening — the sharpest inward move in the field — and jockey Mr Henry Callan carries a 42% strike rate from 33 rides, exceptional for the amateur ranks. Weight of 11-2 is manageable and shared with Bownder, who is meaningfully inferior on SR. Each-way alternative: Bownder. Main danger: Bownder — Bownder (SR:66, 6/1) has a Course:W1P3 record at Lingfield that no other serious contender can match, has shortened 8% in the market, and GoingFit:+ confirms the ground suits — course specialisation on an AW track is a genuine edge that could bridge the 5-point SR gap to Divot.
Full result
Winner: Alazwar (IRE) at SP 6/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Alazwar Fox #3 7/1
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2
Little She 25/1
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3
Kurios Lady 28/1
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4
Divot Fox #1 13/8
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5
The Pug 28/1
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6
Warrnambool 16/1
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7
Norflondonforever 11/2
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8
Wrist Art Fox #4 12/1
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9
Bownder Fox #2 3/1
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10
Imperial Decision 50/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Divot 7/4 🏁 4TH
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2
Bownder 6/1 9TH
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3
Alazwar 4/1 SP 6/1 🏆 WON
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4
Wrist Art 8/1 8TH