← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
21 Engineer Regiment Sapper Nursery Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Lexington Boom
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Lexington Boom (SR 86, 5/2) is the highest-rated runner in the field and arrives on a decisive winning run (Form: 221, last run a win) stepping back up to the same class — ClassMv:= confirms no adverse class jump. At 9-6 it is the lightest weight among the top-rated trio, giving it a meaningful lbs edge over Star People (9-8) and Lady Dublin (9-9). Trainer Grant Tuer (12% strike rate) and jockey Oliver Stammers are a consistent pairing at this level, and DistFit:+ confirms proven aptitude for 5f. The only concern is soft ground (GoingFit:? for all runners), but a three-race juvenile with upward form trajectory is best placed to handle unexplored conditions. Each-way alternative: Star People. Main danger: Star People — Star People (SR 84, 15/8 favourite) is the market's choice, arrives on a solid recent form string (05232) with Jason Hart in the plate — a jockey boasting a 14% career strike rate — and despite blinkers on (HG:b) suggesting connections are chasing a win, the drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) combined with the lightest top-end weight after Lexington Boom makes it a genuine rival if the headgear sharpens it up.
Full result
Winner: May Bee In Profit (GB) at SP 9/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
May Bee In Profit 8/1
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2
Star People Fox #2 7/4
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3
Lady Dublin 7/1
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4
Lexington Boom Fox #1 5/2
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5
Inca Warrior 10/1
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6
Roman Crystal Fox #3 7/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3