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Mr Fox’s call
Rye
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 SP 11/4F Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Rye (SR 68, 9/4) is the clear class standout in this field — the only runner above SR 63 — and carries a fair 9-7 with a ClassMv:↓1, meaning conditions are easier than its last start. Crucially, the market has steamed 18% (Mkt:in18%), signalling professional confidence, and Course:W0P3 shows familiarity with Wolverhampton. The 88-day break and cheekpieces (first-time? noted as 'p') may sharpen it further, and Tony Carroll's 13% strike rate with Rossa Ryan aboard (16%, 1,477 career rides) is a strong connections pairing. The main reservation is a recent form line of 332426 — placed often but not winning — though the class drop and market support argue this is the moment. Each-way alternative: Chasing Gold. Main danger: Forever My Prince — Forever My Prince (SR 62, 4/1) has had its mark dropped 11lb since its last win (MarkMv:-11) — a significant handicapper's concession — and Billy Loughnane (19% career strike rate) is a top booking that warrants respect, even if the DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flags are genuine concerns.
Full result
Winner: Rye (GB) at SP 11/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Rye Fox #1 9/4
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2
In The City 11/2
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3
Blackjack 9/1
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4
Express Train 12/1
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5
Phil's Dream 10/1
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6
Piddie's Pearl 22/1
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7
Chasing Gold Fox #2 5/1
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8
Royal Justice 80/1
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9
Forever My Prince Fox #3 7/2
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10
Mister McGregor 22/1
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11
She Went Whoosh 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3