← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Ottoman
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/1 SP 11/1 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Ottoman (SR:68, 5/1) is the pick on a convergence of signals: a mark 5lb higher than last win is offset by a drop of one class tier, the blinkers are fitted to sharpen focus, Rossa Ryan (16% strike rate, 1,477 career rides) is a high-quality booking, and crucially the market has shortened 8% — money is coming for this horse. The weight of 9-4 is the second-lightest in the field, giving a meaningful lbs advantage over Sansanetti (9-9) and Luan (9-6). GoingFit:~ on good AW surface is not a negative, and the form string 325155 shows consistent placed form at this class level with a win in the sequence — this is a horse competing on its merits, not hiding. Each-way alternative: Luan. Main danger: Luan — Luan holds the highest SR in the field (73), has a confirmed Course:W1P1 record at Wolverhampton and a GoingFit:+ flag — if Billy Loughnane can get a good position from the front, the class edge could tell despite the MarkMv:+5 burden.
Full result
Winner: Ottoman (IRE) at SP 11/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Ottoman Fox #1 9/1
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2
Luan Fox #2 3/1
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3
Sevenkingsmustdie 2/1
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4
Sansanetti Fox #3 9/4
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5
Bulldog Spirit 18/1
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6
Phaedra Fox #4 12/1
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—
Dancingondiamonds 28/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Ottoman 5/1 SP 11/1 🏆 WON
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2
Luan 10/3 🥈 2ND
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3
Sansanetti 2/1 🏁 4TH
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4
Phaedra 7/1 6TH