← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Membership At Gowran Park Fillies Claiming Race
Mr Fox’s call
Profit Surge
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Profit Surge (SR:84, 5/2) is the highest-rated runner in the field and carries the lightest burden among the leading contenders at 9-2, a meaningful weight advantage over Quinta Girl (9-11) and Tax Me Later (9-11). The form string 322331 is the most consistent in the race — three places and a win across recent starts — and the DistFit:+ confirms this trip suits, while the market has shortened 11% since opening, suggesting informed money is behind the Colin Keane booking (16% career strike rate). The MarkMv:+5 is a mild concern, but at claiming level the SR gap over the chasing pack is decisive. Each-way alternative: Minaun View. Main danger: Vlhova — Vlhova (SR:82, 5/1) has steamed in 46% — the sharpest market move in the race — and while the MarkMv:+8 and a recent pair of zeros are a concern, the tongue-tie application and aggressive money suggest connections believe the apparent dip in form is explainable.
Full result
Winner: Quinta Girl (IRE) at SP 13/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Quinta Girl Fox #4 13/2
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2
Tax Me Later 15/2
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3
Star Of Beauty 7/1
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4
Profit Surge Fox #1 5/2
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5
Minaun View Fox #2 6/4
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6
Una Matata 12/1
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7
Salamina 66/1
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8
Keep It Together 150/1
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—
Vlhova Fox #3 5/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Profit Surge 5/2 🏁 4TH
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2
Minaun View 4/1 5TH
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3
Vlhova 5/1
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4
Quinta Girl 6/1 SP 13/2 🏆 WON