← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox

Bath Country Race Day, Running 9 Till 5 Handicap Stakes

16:00 Bath Wed 02 Sep 2026 1m6f Class 6 Good 10 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Just Adair silks

Just Adair

SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 28%

🥉 3RD

Mr Fox says

Just Adair (SR:57, 9/4) is one of only two horses in this Class 6 field with an SR in the competitive range, and at age 4 carries the progressive profile that matters in a moderate handicap. The Mkt:in10% move — money arriving from 9/4 — is a meaningful signal in a field where most runners are drifting sharply. The form string 28-226 shows consistency at this level: placed in five of six career starts, never finishing worse than eighth, with the rightmost '6' (last run) explained by an unproven distance and going record (both DistFit:? and GoingFit:?) — today's conditions on good ground at 1m6f are at least not a demonstrated negative, unlike Fram Castle whose GoingFit:- is a concrete concern. Pat Cosgrave's 10% strike rate from 650 career rides gives the yard a reliable pilot, and the Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill yard's 12% strike rate from 155 runners is solid for a smaller operation. Each-way alternative: Basilette. Main danger: Basilette — Basilette (SR:59, 9/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field, holds a Course:W1P2 record at Bath, and has a confirmed DistFit:+ at today's trip — the course-and-distance specialisation is the single strongest piece of evidence in the race and could easily overpower Just Adair's market support.

Full result

Winner: Fram Castle (IRE) at SP 100/30. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Fram Castle silks Fram Castle Fox #3 Michael Wigham · Alexandra Egan(7) 11/4
  2. 2 Basilette silks Basilette Fox #2 Jeff Mullins · George Downing 15/8
  3. 3 Just Adair silks Just Adair Fox #1 Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill · Pat Cosgrave 5/2
  4. 4 Cherry Cola silks Cherry Cola Sheena West · Tyler Heard 16/1
  5. 5 Notable Charm silks Notable Charm Marcus Tregoning · Rob Hornby 11/1
  6. 6 Prophet Squeeze silks Prophet Squeeze Barry John Murphy · Christian Howarth(3) 33/1
  7. 7 Nora Barnacle silks Nora Barnacle Dominic Ffrench Davis · Ben Ffrench Davis(5) 40/1
  8. 8 Lady Lauren silks Lady Lauren Ed de Giles · Gina Mangan 40/1
  9. 9 Alex The Great silks Alex The Great Tony Carroll · William Carson 25/1
  10. 10 Trooper silks Trooper Neil Mulholland · Luke Morris 66/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Just Adair silks Just Adair 9/4 🥉 3RD
  2. 2 Basilette silks Basilette 9/4 🥈 2ND
  3. 3 Fram Castle silks Fram Castle 11/4 SP 100/30 🏆 WON