← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
British EBF Fillies' Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Pierian
SPECULATIVE Advised 2/1 SP 11/4 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Pierian (SR 97, 2/1) is the class standout in this field by a clear margin — 7 SR points above the next best (Asset at 90) and 12 above Mythical Bird and Aravalli at 85. The drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) from William Haggas's yard is a positive, and the 10% market inward move signals informed money following this horse down in grade. The form string '21140' shows a win and a second from the last three runs before the latest '0', which at Class 4 off 9-12 weight still leaves room to exploit connections' tactical nous. Haggas (21% strike rate, 1123 runners) with Marquand (13%, 1189 runners) is a formidable booking combination, and the class drop from a top stable is the single most compelling signal in this race. Each-way alternative: Asset. Main danger: Mythical Bird — Mythical Bird (SR 85, 4/1) has shortened 6% in the market, carries a light 9-10, and the form string '130031' shows a last-time-out win — if that recent winning form translates at this trip, she is the most likely to cause an upset.
Full result
Winner: Pierian (GB) at SP 11/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Pierian Fox #1 2/1
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2
Asset Fox #2 9/2
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3
Aravalli 9/1
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4
Quebella 10/3
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5
Mythical Bird Fox #3 4/1
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6
Spirit Of Jura 14/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Pierian 2/1 SP 11/4 🏆 WON
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2
Asset 4/1 🥈 2ND
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3
Mythical Bird 4/1 5TH