← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Reprocolor Premier Ebf Fillies' Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Hoseki
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/10 SP 5/4F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Hoseki (SR:100, 11/10) is the clear class leader in this field by a meaningful margin — 5 SR points clear of nearest rival Star Cast — and arrives in excellent form having won three of her last four starts (form 4-1114) with the sole blemish a 4th rather than a non-completion. William Haggas (21% strike rate from 1,125 runners) is one of the shrewdest handlers of progressive fillies, and Tom Marquand takes the ride. Running off a mark 5lb higher than her last win does represent a slight question, and GoingFit is unproven in soft, but at 1m2f42y in a Class 3 fillies' handicap she is simply the most able horse in the race and is sent off a deserved jolly. The main concern is the soft ground question mark — but with Haggas content to run here, connections clearly believe she handles it. Each-way alternative: Star Cast. Main danger: Star Cast — Star Cast (SR:95, 5/1) carries the best distance and going credentials in the field (DistFit:+ GoingFit:+), has been steaming in the market by 27%, and her 132112 form line shows genuine consistency — she handles soft and stays this trip, which Hoseki has yet to prove.
Full result
Winner: Hoseki (IRE) at SP 5/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Hoseki Fox #1 11/8
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2
Hollywell Stream Fox #3 5/1
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3
Star Cast Fox #2 9/2
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4
Miss Tonnerre 10/1
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5
Lady Roisia 7/1
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6
Geo 22/1
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7
Polygram 7/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Hoseki 11/10 SP 5/4F 🏆 WON
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2
Star Cast 5/1 🥉 3RD
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3
Hollywell Stream 13/2 🥈 2ND