← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Download The At The Races App Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Hamdania
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Hamdania (SR 154, 9/4) stands head and shoulders above this field on ability — her SR of 154 is 25 points clear of the next best, All Shall Be Well (SR 129), and over 80 points ahead of the bottom three. Her sole run produced a win, and while the 271-day absence and unknown distance/going fit are caution flags, the class of this novice field (Band C/D) is weak enough that her raw superiority should carry the day. At 9-9 she carries the most weight but the SR gap is so wide it dwarfs any pound-for-pound concern. The market at 9/4 is the second-shortest price despite no drifting signal, suggesting connections are confident about a return to fitness. Each-way alternative: All Shall Be Well. Main danger: Barbuda Bay — Barbuda Bay's 35% market move in combined with first-time blinkers and course form (W0P2) suggests connections believe the headgear could unlock improvement, and if Hamdania is ring-rusty after 271 days off, Barbuda Bay could pick up the pieces.
Full result
Winner: Princess Honey Bee (GB) at SP 9/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Princess Honey Bee 15/8
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2
Hamdania Fox #1 9/4
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3
All Shall Be Well Fox #2 25/1
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4
Mystic Music 5/1
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5
Barbuda Bay Fox #3 10/3
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3