← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Tickets
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Tickets (SR:62, 10/3, Wgt:9-4) is the highest-rated horse in the field and has steamed in 25% in the market — the strongest market move of any runner — suggesting informed confidence. Running off a mark 3lb below last win (MarkMv:-3) on a course where he has won and placed (Course:W1P1), Tickets has a meaningful weight advantage over Em Jay Kay and Tomorrow Day while carrying the lowest weight among the top-SR horses. Trainer Patrick Neville runs at a respectable 13% strike rate from a relatively small yard, and jockey Andrew Mullen's booking reinforces this as a stable intent. The combination of top SR, course form, favourable mark, and a 25% market shortening makes this the most compelling case in the field. Each-way alternative: Uncle Sam. Main danger: Uncle Sam — Uncle Sam (SR:59, 5/2) is the second-highest rated and the market's marginal favourite, ridden by Oisin Orr (14% strike rate, 746 runners) with course form and a DistFit:~ suggesting he stays competitive at 6f — the booking of the most high-profile jockey in the field is a clear signal.
Full result
Winner: Tomorrow Day (GB) at SP 3/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Tomorrow Day Fox #4 7/2
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2
Tickets Fox #1 10/3
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3
Uncle Sam Fox #2 5/2
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4
Rain Cap 14/1
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5
Little Beck Annie 6/1
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6
Desert Master 5/1
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7
Sadiiki 66/1
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8
Aurora's Doublesix 250/1
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Em Jay Kay Fox #3 4/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4