← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
IRE-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Dick Poole Fillies' Stakes (Group 3)
Mr Fox’s call
Miss Kodi
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Miss Kodi (SR:111, 11/4) leads the field on ability alongside Nuit d'Eclair but brings stronger market signals — a 5% inward move compared to Nuit d'Eclair's 9% drift — and a DistFit:+ confirmation over today's 6f trip, which Nuit d'Eclair also holds. Clive Cox (15% strike rate, stronger than Kevin Philippart De Foy's 14%) and Rossa Ryan (16%, 1,487 career rides) represent a polished combination for a Group 3 target. The form line 1-5-4 shows a winner followed by two placed/near-placed efforts at competitive level, consistent with a filly that maintains form, and at 11/4 the market price is fair rather than skinny for a horse the money is gently backing rather than opposing. Each-way alternative: Nuit d'Eclair. Main danger: Nuit d'Eclair — Nuit d'Eclair matches Miss Kodi on SR:111 with a DistFit:+ at 6f and a 1-4-2 form line suggesting a progressive filly capable of bouncing back from her last run, and at 9/4 she is the market leader — the drift is modest and may reflect market structure rather than insider concern.
Full result
Winner: Acclamation Star (GB) at SP 28/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Acclamation Star 18/1
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2
Dark Issue Fox #4 13/2
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3
Nuit d'Eclair Fox #2 9/4
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4
Love Is Fox #3 13/2
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5
Fillipas 28/1
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6
Miss Kodi Fox #1 2/1
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7
Elevating 40/1
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8
Impulsive Spirit 16/1
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9
Lola De Valence 25/1
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10
Harlequin Sky 10/1
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11
Miss Lizzy 50/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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2
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3
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4