← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Big Ascot Food & Wine Festival Classified Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Jolly Roger
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/1 Est. 24%
Mr Fox says
Jolly Roger (SR 90, 5/1) is trained by the in-form Simon & Ed Crisford yard (19% strike rate, strongest in the field) and carries the services of William Buick (20% strike rate), the most accomplished jockey combination on show. The 12% market support since opening is a meaningful signal in a race where three other horses are drifting sharply. Running at the same class as recent outings with a consistent form line of 26232 — never far from the action — and the tongue-tie plus pads suggest connections have been patient with this horse after 237 days off, targeting this specific opportunity. At 5/1 with Buick up and Crisford in form, the implied market probability (~17%) looks too low against its actual prospects. Each-way alternative: Aalto. Main danger: Best Rate — Best Rate (SR 95, 11/2) has steamed in 50% in the market — the biggest move in the race — and a form line ending 58 masks a recent Class 3/4 winner earlier in the sequence, with course form (W1P1) at Ascot adding genuine substance.
Full result
Winner: Malachy's Wish (GB) at SP 7/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Malachy's Wish 15/2
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2
Suspicious Mindz 14/1
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3
Aalto Fox #2 9/4
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4
Best Rate Fox #4 15/2
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5
Jonny Concrete Fox #3 9/2
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6
Debrief 10/1
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7
Veblen Good 9/1
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8
Jolly Roger Fox #1 5/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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3
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4