← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Genesis Wealth Management Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase
Mr Fox’s call
Delgany Second Now
HIGH Advised 4/11 SP 4/9F Est. 52%
Mr Fox says
Delgany Second Now (SR:97, 4/11) is comfortably the highest-rated horse in this field by a margin of 12 points over the next best, and that SR advantage is compounded by carrying the lightest weight in the race at 10-4 — a massive 3st 10lb less than top-weight Soldier In Mayo. The Dan Skelton/Harry Skelton combination posts a career strike rate of 21%/27% respectively, the strongest training-and-riding partnership in this field by distance, and the market has backed this horse in by 29% since opening, confirming significant stable confidence. A form line of -77511 shows a horse that has found its feet rapidly, winning back-to-back last time, and being set on just 7 days' turnaround suggests connections are striking while the iron is hot. GoingFit:~ on good ground is the only mild concern, but a 4-year-old novice with this trajectory and weight advantage should handle it comfortably. Each-way alternative: Rule Me In. Main danger: Soldier In Mayo — Soldier In Mayo (SR:85) carries the highest SR among the opposition and has a recent win in his form (Form:643/1-), and while the 47% market drift is a serious concern, a Donald McCain runner with that form line cannot be entirely dismissed as the nearest rival on ability grounds.
Full result
Winner: Delgany Second Now (GB) at SP 4/9F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Delgany Second Now Fox #1 4/9
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2
Soldier In Mayo Fox #2 15/2
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3
Rockvale 15/2
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4
Moonlightinthepark 40/1
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5
Hiero Sport 16/1
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6
My Bobby's Lass 25/1
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Barry Fife 12/1
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Rule Me In Fox #3 7/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3