← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Du Construction Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
Secret Trix
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Secret Trix (SR 125, 11/4) is the highest-rated runner in the field and crucially holds the strongest fitness profile for today's conditions: DistFit:+ confirms a proven record at 2m7f-range trips, and GoingFit:+ confirms effectiveness on good ground — the only runner with both boxes ticked. A mark 7lb below last win (MarkMv:-7) is a meaningful competitive advantage, and carrying 11-8 is a reasonable weight relative to form. The slight drift (Mkt:out6%) is a marginal negative but is outweighed by the alignment of SR leadership, distance/going suitability, and a trainer (Olly Murphy, 20% strike rate) who sends horses out fit after 54 days off. Form of 23-322 at the same class shows consistency rather than brilliance, but in a five-runner field at this trip, reliability on the day counts. Each-way alternative: Kiwi de Cotte. Main danger: Kiwi de Cotte — Kiwi de Cotte (SR 124, 5/2) carries the lightest weight of the principal contenders at 11-5, is trained by Dan Skelton with Harry Skelton aboard — a combination striking at 21%/27% — and GoingFit:+ confirms suitability to today's ground; the distance query (DistFit:?) is the only real concern, but at 2m7f the step up from shorter trips is not automatically prohibitive for a progressive six-year-old.
Full result
Winner: Ernest Gray (IRE) at SP 9/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Ernest Gray 11/4
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2
Roger Pol Fox #3 5/1
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3
Speed Davis 13/2
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4
Secret Trix Fox #1 10/3
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5
Kiwi de Cotte Fox #2 5/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3