← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
Lucky In Taipan
SPECULATIVE Advised 15/8 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Lucky In Taipan (SR 84, 15/8) has steamed in 49% from its opening price — the strongest market move in the field by a considerable margin — and carries a favourable 10-2, giving it a meaningful weight advantage over the top-rated horses in the field. Ben Pauling's yard operates at a 20% strike rate from 110 runners and Ben Jones at 19% from 121, a confident, professional combination. The form string P60-63 shows a recent third and sixth, indicating a horse coming back to form, and the class is unchanged making this a manageable assignment. The SR of 84 leads the shortlist of non-drifters and, combined with the exceptional market confidence, this is a well-supported case. Each-way alternative: Ashdown Forest. Main danger: Ashdown Forest — Ashdown Forest (SR 90, 11/4) is the highest-rated runner in the field and the Dan Skelton / Harry Skelton combination operates at elite strike rates (21% and 27%), and despite drifting 40% — which gives pause — recent form 776-13 shows a last-run win that could signal a horse in the groove.
Full result
Winner: Ballynoe Boy (IRE) at SP 3/1J. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Ballynoe Boy Fox #4 4/1
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2
Cawthorne Cracker 16/1
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3
Ashdown Forest Fox #2 11/4
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4
Faded Fantasy 40/1
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5
La Lolita Fox #3 15/2
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6
Dante's Inferno 10/1
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7
Bobby Socks 33/1
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8
Eyeeye 66/1
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Present Fair 16/1
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Lord Cauvelliere 16/1
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Cappa Lass 25/1
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Lucky In Taipan Fox #1 15/8
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Lucky In Taipan 15/8
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2
Ashdown Forest 11/4 🥉 3RD
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3
La Lolita 7/1 5TH
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4
Ballynoe Boy 7/2 SP 3/1J 🏆 WON