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Mr Fox’s call
Fallacious Promise
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Fallacious Promise (SR:91, 9/2) carries the lightest weight in the field at 9-1 and arrives on a blazing recent form string of 231211 — the most consistent sequence in this field and all achieved at a level that demands respect even with the two-tier class rise. Course:W1P3 at Kempton confirms a genuine affinity for this track, DistFit:+ confirms the mile suits, and David Egan is a booking that suggests connections are serious. Yes, MarkMv:+14 is a concern — that's a significant rise off the last win — but the weight advantage over Go Rimbaud (9-11) and Suggy (9-3) is material, and the form consistency in a field where rivals carry questions over trip, going, or recent consistency makes this the standout pick. Each-way alternative: Go Rimbaud. Main danger: Go Rimbaud — Go Rimbaud (SR:96, 5/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field, drops a class, and boasts Course:W1P3 at Kempton — the Gosden yard's 25% strike rate and Robert Havlin booking add credibility, and the MarkMv:+5 is more manageable than Fallacious Promise's +14 if the weight burden of 9-11 doesn't prove decisive.
Full result
Winner: Elan D'or (GB) at SP 14/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Elan d'Or 11/1
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2
Go Rimbaud Fox #2 7/4
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3
Radiance 40/1
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4
Suggy Fox #3 9/2
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5
Wuood 14/1
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6
Fallacious Promise Fox #1 9/2
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7
Starlight Time Fox #4 7/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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4