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Mr Fox’s call
Shiplake
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 SP 6/4F Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Shiplake (SR:89, 9/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field and has been backed in dramatically — a 30% market move is significant money talking on a 14-runner handicap. The class drop (↓1) from a MarkMv:+5 starting point suggests connections believe the mark is workable, and Kevin Philippart De Foy (14% strike rate, 226 runners — a yard that picks its spots) booked David Egan (14%, 599 runners) to ride. The form string -10984 reads patchy on the surface, but the 10th/9th finishes bookend a win, suggesting inconsistency rather than inability, and the step down in class at Kempton AW should expose the better of that profile. The SR advantage over the next-best runners (Philanthropist SR:88, Dr Strangelove SR:86) is modest but real, and the weight of 9-11 is manageable against this field. Each-way alternative: Dr Strangelove. Main danger: Philanthropist — Philanthropist (SR:88, 9/2) carries a favourable 9-8, has course form (W0P1), James Fanshawe's 19% strike rate is the best in the field, and Billy Loughnane's high-volume 19% record makes this a sharp booking — the form string 713402 shows a second last time suggesting a return to near-best is overdue.
Full result
Winner: Shiplake (IRE) at SP 6/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Shiplake Fox #1 15/8
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2
Winston's Warrior 13/2
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3
Port Road 33/1
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4
Physique 33/1
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5
Yankee Dude 10/1
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6
Gilet 13/2
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7
Kiniro Fox #4 16/1
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8
Flag Of St George 10/1
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9
Rajeko 6/1
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10
Mythical Composer 20/1
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11
Dr Strangelove Fox #3 11/1
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12
Lexington Jet 25/1
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13
Metaverse 20/1
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—
Philanthropist Fox #2 9/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Shiplake 9/4 SP 6/4F 🏆 WON
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2
Philanthropist 9/2
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3
Dr Strangelove 17/2 11TH
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4
Kiniro 7/1 7TH