← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Dexperts Opinion
SPECULATIVE Advised 2/1 SP 10/11F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Dexperts Opinion (SR:117, 2/1) is the clear class-leader in this field, carrying 11-11 and dropping a class which is a significant advantage. The market has spoken emphatically — an 18% inward move to 2/1 from what would have opened around 9/4 — and Sean Bowen (23% career strike rate, 1228 runners) is a high-quality booking for a Mickey Bowen yard operating at 16%. Course form of W1P1 at Worcester adds further substance, and the form string 007-12 shows a horse that found form late last season after poor early runs, with a win and place in the two most recent completed seasons. The 4lb mark rise since last win is a minor concern but is offset by the class drop and the weight advantage over Giovanni Change at the top of the handicap. Each-way alternative: Paper Mill. Main danger: Paper Mill — Paper Mill (SR:108, 9/2) is only 1lb worse in the weights than Dexperts Opinion, the yard's jockey Charlie Hammond strikes at 12%, and its last completed run was a second — solid consistency makes it the most likely beneficiary if the favourite disappoints.
Full result
Winner: Dexperts Opinion (IRE) at SP 10/11F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Dexperts Opinion Fox #1 5/4
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2
Jet Smart Fox #3 9/2
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3
Better Off Alone 9/2
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4
Paper Mill Fox #2 5/1
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5
Giovanni Change 14/1
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6
Mumford's Magic 14/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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2
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3