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Kevin 'nasty' Turner Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)
Mr Fox’s call
Holy Legend
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/5 SP 5/4F Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Holy Legend (SR 94, 6/5) is the class-leader in this modest Class 5 field and arrives on a strong recent form line of 56-121 — a win and a second from the last two starts, showing peak form. Course form is a genuine asset: W1P2 at Worcester is a meaningful advantage on a track where course specialists regularly outperform. Despite carrying 11-8 and a MarkMv:+6 (running 6lb above last winning mark), the weight is still lighter than top-weight Belle Le Grand's 12-0, and the SR 94 comfortably heads the field by 4 points. Trainer Alexandra Dunn posts an 18% strike rate from a small but meaningful sample of 34 runners, and while James Best's 7% overall rate is a mild negative, the market support — even after an 11% drift — still has this horse at 6/5, reflecting its clear form superiority. Each-way alternative: Culligran. Main danger: Culligran — Culligran (SR 89, 3/1) carries a favourable 10-13 — a 9lb weight advantage over top-weight Belle Le Grand and 9lb less than Holy Legend — has course form (W0P1 at Worcester), a GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, and is trained by a yard whose low 3% strike rate is the main concern, but Kielan Woods (14%) is a capable booking who could compensate on a horse running off an unchanged mark from its last win.
Full result
Winner: Holy Legend (GB) at SP 5/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Holy Legend Fox #1 6/4
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2
Boom Boom 10/1
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3
Ballinoulart 22/1
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4
Culligran Fox #2 9/4
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5
Belle Le Grand Fox #3 7/2
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6
Four Decades 20/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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3