Grant Thornton Ulster Cesarewitch Handicap

18:00 Down Royal Fri 04 Sep 2026 2m2f141y Good 17 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Ragmans Corner

SPECULATIVE Est. 18%

Mr Fox says

Ragmans Corner (SR:68) holds a clear SR advantage over every rival in this field — the next best is Gangster Granny at SR:60 and Cozone at SR:59, a meaningful gap in a competitive 17-runner staying handicap. GoingFit:+ confirms the horse handles today's good ground, and a MarkMv:-1 means the mark is essentially flat since last win, making this a realistic opportunity. The trainer Gerard Keane (7%) is modest but the jockey Jack Kearney with a claimer's 3lb allowance lightens the 10-0 burden meaningfully. With every other runner carrying DistFit:? in this long-distance trip, no rival has a proven distance edge either, so the SR lead is the clearest differentiator available. Each-way alternative: Gangster Granny. Main danger: Cooley's Mist — Cooley's Mist (SR:57) has the most progressive recent form in the field — 833102 is a clear upward trajectory — and trainer H Rogers runs at a 16% strike rate from only 43 career runners, suggesting a yard that picks its spots carefully, making the MarkMv:+5 the main concern rather than a red flag.

Verify· #16075

Full result

Winner: Boxing Great (IRE) at SP 100/30F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.