← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Midland Veterinary Beginners Steeplechase
Mr Fox’s call
Siege Of Carthage
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Siege Of Carthage (SR:105, 11/2) is the standout selection on market movement alone — a 43% inward move from opening price is the most dramatic steamer in the field and in a beginners' chase with limited form lines, that money almost certainly reflects stable confidence and schooling reports. Trainer Josh Halley operates at 5% overall but the market is clearly overriding that concern. The going fits (GoingFit:+) and the form string 2-51P3 shows a horse that has been placed at the level and whose recent bumping-off (P) is outweighed by the confidence the market is now expressing. With every runner in the field showing DistFit:? (a beginners' chase by definition draws inexperienced jumpers), the advantage shifts to the horse whose connections are backing it hardest on the day. Each-way alternative: Fou De Toi. Main danger: Fou De Toi — Fou De Toi (SR:104, 2/1) carries the Mullins/Townend combination — the highest-calibre connections in the field — with a confirmed GoingFit:+ and despite a 7% drift is still the market favourite, making it the most credible rival if Siege Of Carthage's market confidence proves unfounded.
Full result
Winner: Fou De Toi (FR) at SP 2/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Fou De Toi Fox #2 9/4
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2
Los Blanco Fox #4 7/2
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3
Siege Of Carthage Fox #1 7/2
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4
Kool One 12/1
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5
The Burrow 150/1
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Eclipse Chaser 18/1
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Some Song 5/1
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Where Are You Now 100/1
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Fizzle Rock 100/1
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Manoir De Mirande Fox #3 13/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Siege Of Carthage 11/2 🥉 3RD
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2
Fou De Toi 2/1 SP 2/1F 🏆 WON
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3
Manoir De Mirande 13/2
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4
Los Blanco 5/2 🥈 2ND