← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Kilsaran Handicap Steeplechase
Mr Fox’s call
Soldante
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 SP 11/2 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Soldante (SR:109, 11/2, 10-8) carries the lightest weight among the three SR:109 horses and has steamed in 37% from its opening price — the strongest market move in the field by a considerable margin. The form string 3-3135 shows consistent placing with a win last time out, and at 10-8 it holds a 6lb advantage over Hashtag Pretender and 10lb over Charlie Luciano among the peer group. GoingFit is unknown rather than negative, and on good ground a horse in this form with strong market confidence is the standout pick. The MarkMv:+7 is modest and unlikely to be prohibitive given the weight advantage it carries over rivals of equal SR. Each-way alternative: Where's My Jet. Main danger: Where's My Jet — Where's My Jet (SR:105, 9/2, Mullins/Townend) has steamed in 15% with the best jockey booking in the race on a Mullins yard running at 21% strike rate — connections that rarely turn up at Kilbeggan without intent, and Paul Townend at 29% career strike rate is a decisive edge if the horse's 60P-00 form line is being glossed over as trip/ground excuses.
Full result
Winner: Soldante (IRE) at SP 11/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Soldante Fox #1 11/2
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2
Butter Fingers 11/1
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3
Watch The Weather 16/1
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4
Hashtag Pretender 5/1
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5
Pinot Gris Fox #3 5/2
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6
Where's My Jet Fox #2 4/1
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7
Grange Walk 28/1
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8
Bynx 20/1
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9
Cappa Hill 18/1
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10
Littlebiggie 28/1
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11
Typical Thomas 40/1
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—
Charlie Luciano Fox #4 15/2
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—
Prince Palace 28/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Soldante 11/2 SP 11/2 🏆 WON
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2
Where's My Jet 9/2 6TH
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3
Pinot Gris 5/2 5TH
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4
Charlie Luciano 8/1