← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
tote £75k Guaranteed Placepot Today EBF "Confined" Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses Which Have Run No More Than Once) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Pensando A Te
SPECULATIVE Advised 13/8 SP 6/5F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Pensando A Te (SR 159, 13/8) carries the highest Saturday Rating in the field and has steamed in 14% since opening, the only horse attracting meaningful late market confidence — money that knows something on a four-runner maiden should be respected. The SR-159 edge over Dannahue (SR 157) and Asheyra (SR 155) is modest but real, and the class rise of two tiers is not a concern in a maiden context where the rating already reflects ability. Marco Botti (16% SR) combined with Silvestre De Sousa (13%, 921 rides — far more seasoned book than Connor Planas on the favourite) is a competent combination. The 14% market move is the decisive differentiating signal in an otherwise closely-matched field. Each-way alternative: Asheyra. Main danger: Asheyra — Asheyra (SR 155, 11/4) is trained by Roger Varian (20% strike rate, 680 runners — the strongest trainer stat in the field) with Cieren Fallon riding at 19%, and a third-place debut suggests there is improvement to come stepping up a class at Ascot.
Full result
Winner: Pensando A Te (GB) at SP 6/5F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Pensando A Te Fox #1 11/8
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2
Asheyra Fox #2 4/1
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3
Dannahue Fox #3 13/8
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4
La Pittura 14/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3