← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Download The Tote App British Ebf Premier Fillies' Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Rosa Inglesa
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Rosa Inglesa (SR 104, 5/2) is the class leader in this field by a clear margin — 9 SR points clear of the next best — and carries the lightest weight among the principals at 9-4, giving her a meaningful pounds advantage over Nanino Niyati (9-11) and Seren Star (9-10) despite the superior SR those horses carry. Her Course:W1P2 record at Ascot is a concrete edge in a 1m handicap where track familiarity matters, and her DistFit:+ confirms she handles the mile trip. The form string -31319 shows consistent engagement at this level; the last run '9' is the only blemish, likely explainable given a step up in class with MarkMv:+4 — not a worrying enough blip to override the course-and-distance profile. Each-way alternative: Seren Star. Main danger: Luna Celeste — Luna Celeste (SR 95, 9/2) arrives on the back of a near-perfect -21211 form string, has gently firmed in the market (Mkt:in6%), carries a light 9-2, and Tom Clover's yard has a respectable 14% strike rate — a horse arriving in form and on the upgrade could easily outrun a DistFit:? concern at this trip.
Full result
Winner: Applesandpears (GB) at SP 25/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Applesandpears 18/1
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2
True Test 9/1
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3
Luna Celeste Fox #3 11/2
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4
Rosa Inglesa Fox #1 2/1
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5
Tryst Fox #4 12/1
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6
Date Line 28/1
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7
Electrifarhh 9/1
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8
Seren Star Fox #2 7/1
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9
Orion's Belt 40/1
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10
Nanino Niyati 9/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Rosa Inglesa 5/2 🏁 4TH
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2
Seren Star 6/1 8TH
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3
Luna Celeste 9/2 🥉 3RD
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4
Tryst 14/1 5TH