← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Betfair.Betfair Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Final Night
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Final Night (SR 84, 11/2) is John Butler's clear yard number one — paired with the stable's senior booking David Egan (14%, 602 runners) while stablemate Metal Merchant gets Sean Levey, and the market has already shortened 10% on Final Night. DistFit:+ confirms proven competence at this 7f212y trip, a crucial edge in a field where most rivals carry DistFit:- or DistFit:~. The form string 236022 is consistent rather than flashy but at ClassMv:= this is the horse's level, and heavy going on a galloping track like Haydock suits a stayer-type who stays this extended 7f trip. Crown Office (SR 87) has the highest SR but carries DistFit:- over this trip and the Haggas yard's 3yo may be caught out by the conditions. Each-way alternative: Bearin Up. Main danger: Crown Office — Crown Office (SR 87, 2/1) represents William Haggas at a 21% strike rate, has shortened 8% in the market, and if the DistFit:- is less significant than the class and raw ability suggest, it is clearly capable of winning on form string 1-0462.
Full result
Winner: Monoceros (GB) at SP 14/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Monoceros 10/1
-
2
Military Leader Fox #4 13/2
-
3
Bearin Up Fox #3 14/1
-
4
Final Night Fox #1 13/2
-
5
Crown Office Fox #2 15/8
-
6
Caim 15/2
-
7
Jungle Ruler 10/1
-
8
Miletus 16/1
-
9
Metal Merchant 16/1
-
10
The Sweet Escape 16/1
-
11
Kindest Nation 28/1
-
12
Yanifer 22/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Final Night 11/2 🏁 4TH
-
2
Crown Office 2/1 5TH
-
3
Bearin Up 20/1 🥉 3RD
-
4
Military Leader 7/1 🥈 2ND