← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Fillies' Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier)
Mr Fox’s call
Paradise Walk
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Paradise Walk (SR 90, 9/2) is the joint-top rated horse in the field alongside Veil Of Clouds, but carries 9-7 — 2lb less than Veil Of Clouds on 9-5 wait, actually Veil Of Clouds carries 9-5 giving her a 2lb weight advantage. However, Paradise Walk is dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1), has a proven distance record (DistFit:+), and has seen strong market support (Mkt:in21%) — the money is talking here. Ralph Beckett (17% strike rate, 984 runners) booking Rossa Ryan (17%, 1496 runners) is a sharp pairing with serious firepower behind the horse. The form line 241140 shows a win last time two runs back and a recent 0, but dropping class after that disappointing run is a classic Beckett move to find a softer opportunity, and the market has clearly taken notice with a 21% inward move. Each-way alternative: Veil Of Clouds. Main danger: Veil Of Clouds — Veil Of Clouds (SR 90, 15/8 favourite) carries the top ability rating alongside Paradise Walk, has Oisin Murphy in the saddle (21% career strike rate), and a recent win (Form:52531) though stepping up a class (ClassMv:↑1) and carrying MarkMv:+8 above her last winning mark is the main concern — if she handles the class rise, she's the one to beat.
Full result
Winner: Veil Of Clouds (GB) at SP 11/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Veil Of Clouds Fox #2 15/8
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2
Lady Roxby 17/2
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3
Powdering 10/1
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4
Zighy Fox #3 9/1
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5
Tarot 20/1
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6
Shallow 8/1
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7
Rumble Ruby Fox #4 16/1
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8
Paradise Walk Fox #1 9/2
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9
Eskimo Pie 20/1
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10
Calling A Star 10/1
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11
Lope El Fuego 50/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Paradise Walk 9/2 8TH
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2
Veil Of Clouds 15/8 SP 11/8F 🏆 WON
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3
Zighy 7/1 🏁 4TH
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4
Rumble Ruby 9/1 7TH