← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
British Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Proposal
SPECULATIVE Advised 13/8 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Proposal (SR:88, 13/8) is trained by William Haggas, the standout yard here at 21% strike rate from 1,137 runners — comfortably the strongest training operation in this field. She carries just 8-12, the lowest weight in the race, giving her a meaningful 14lb advantage over top-weight Oolong Poobong (10-0) despite matching her on SR. The 12% market support (steaming in from an opening price) signals informed confidence, and running off a mark only 1lb above her last win (MarkMv:+1) means she's not being squeezed by the handicapper. The 39 days since her last run is no concern under Haggas, a trainer renowned for returning horses fresh and ready; form figures 42-145 show a recent win and a consistency that the all-placed but never-winning Cotai Belle cannot match. Each-way alternative: Oolong Poobong. Main danger: Oolong Poobong — Oolong Poobong (SR:94, 2/1) has the highest ability rating in the field and has shortened 8% in the market, suggesting stable confidence despite the +7 mark penalty and top-weight burden of 10-0 — if the class drop (↓1) unlocks a return to her best, she is capable of winning.
Full result
Winner: Oolong Poobong (IRE) at SP 5/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Oolong Poobong Fox #2 9/4
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2
Proposal Fox #1 2/1
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3
Cotai Belle Fox #3 11/2
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4
Perfect Part 13/2
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5
Passing Thought 14/1
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6
Figjam 9/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3