Hamish Johnson Memorial EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)

14:42 Windsor Mon 07 Sep 2026 0m6f12y Class 5 Good 15 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Polyxena

SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 SP 8/1 Est. 26%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Polyxena (SR 149, 11/2) carries the highest SR in the field alongside Thai Baht (SR 150) but has a decisive course advantage — a win and a place at Windsor already on her record — which is a concrete edge in a 15-runner novice where track familiarity matters. Her weight of 9-6 is the highest in the field but she is a winner (Form: 1) who has already demonstrated she can deliver at this level. The market drift of 13% is a mild concern but in a novice stakes with many unexposed runners, public money is unreliable and her proven race-winning ability and course record over an untested favourite justify taking her at 11/2. Romotoso (SR 82) is the market jolly at 5/4, steaming in 20%, but that SR is well below the competitive range — the market support reflects connections' confidence in a drop in class, yet a raw SR of 82 against SR 149 is a significant ability gap that form alone cannot bridge. Each-way alternative: Thai Baht. Main danger: Cranberry Breeze — Cranberry Breeze (SR 142, 12/1) is the only runner in the field with a meaningful market move inward (14% steamer) combined with a genuinely competitive SR, making her the most likely unexposed improver to spring an upset on debut.

Verify· #16492

Full result

Winner: Polyxena (IRE) at SP 8/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.