← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Weatherbys Global Stallions App Winter Hill Stakes (Group 3)
Mr Fox’s call
Raaheeb
MEDIUM Advised 4/5 Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Raaheeb (SR 126, 4/5) towers over this seven-runner Group 3 field by a significant margin — the next best SRs are Maho Bay at 115 and Morris Dancer at 112, meaning Raaheeb carries a genuine class edge. The form string 1-14 reads as a Group winner returning from a break (71 days), resuming at the same class level (ClassMv:=) with no obvious negatives. Owen Burrows operates at an 18% strike rate from a relatively compact yard (237 runners), and Rossa Ryan at 17% career strike rate is a strong booking. At 4/5 the market is simply acknowledging what the data shows — no other runner can match the SR, and at 9-5 weight Raaheeb is not overburdened. Each-way alternative: Maho Bay. Main danger: Maho Bay — Maho Bay (SR 115, 7/2) is trained by Charlie Appleby at a 32% strike rate — the best trainer strike rate in the race — carries William Buick (21% career rate), is proven at the distance (DistFit:+), and has shortened 14% in the market, suggesting stable confidence after a 1-145 form line that shows a recent drop in form worth monitoring but not dismissing.
Full result
Winner: Maho Bay (GB) at SP 5/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Maho Bay Fox #2 3/1
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2
Venetian Prince 28/1
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3
Harmonics 11/1
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4
On Message Fox #4 10/1
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5
Raaheeb Fox #1 10/11
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6
Morris Dancer Fox #3 10/1
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7
Crest Of Fire 14/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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2
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3
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4