← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Free Bets On attheraces.com EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Rhodes Runner
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Rhodes Runner (SR:83, 9/4) is the standout selection despite having the lowest SR in the field. The critical signal here is the 38% market inward move — the strongest steaming of any runner — combined with Ralph Beckett's 18% trainer strike rate (best in the field) and Edward Greatrex's solid 13% booking. The SR discrepancy against Kerry Grey (SR:151) and Rogue Dakota (SR:134) is real, but both of those horses are drifting hard (15% and 41% out respectively), and Rhodes Runner's race experience — six runs of form — is a significant edge over maidens and once-raced rivals in a sprint novice. Beckett placing a filly here with strong market confidence after 11 days' turnaround reads as a yard targeting this specific opportunity. Each-way alternative: Kerry Grey. Main danger: Kerry Grey — Kerry Grey's SR:151 is comfortably the highest in the field and Billy Loughnane's 19% strike rate is elite — if Richard Hughes has this debut-maker ready, raw ability could overcome the 15% drift.
Full result
Winner: Roxa Love (GB) at SP 4/5F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Roxa Love Fox #3 5/6
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2
Rhodes Runner Fox #1 11/4
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3
Kerry Grey Fox #2 4/1
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4
Glamorous Wild 80/1
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5
Justice Time 50/1
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6
Rogue Dakota 20/1
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7
Black Treasure 50/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Rhodes Runner 9/4 🥈 2ND
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2
Kerry Grey 4/1 🥉 3RD
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3
Roxa Love 10/11 SP 4/5F 🏆 WON