← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Dixieland Blues
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Dixieland Blues (SR 88, 10/3) is the highest-rated runner in the field and carries only 9-11, a manageable weight given the SR advantage over the next-best Knights Gold (SR 87) and First Ambition (SR 83). The standout signal is the 19% market inward move — significant for a horse already at a relatively short price — suggesting informed confidence, likely tied to the class drop (↓1) which puts this Crisford-trained four-year-old into softer company than recent runs. The form string 0661-0 is mixed but the last run '0' (tenth or worse) came at a higher class level, and the drop here plus market money makes this the most compelling multi-signal case in a modest field. Each-way alternative: Song N Dance. Main danger: First Ambition — First Ambition (SR 83, 11/2) has steamed in 26% in the market — the biggest inward move in the field after Dixieland Blues — and the class drop (↓1) from trainer Michael Keady gives it a plausible route to a surprise, despite the DistFit:- concern and modest strike rate.
Full result
Winner: Song N Dance (GB) at SP 7/2J. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Song N Dance Fox #2 11/2
-
2
Londoner 13/2
-
3
First Ambition Fox #3 13/2
-
4
Newfangled 14/1
-
5
Dixieland Blues Fox #1 10/3
-
6
Chalk Mountain 11/1
-
7
Knights Gold Fox #4 5/1
-
8
Commander Of Life 8/1
-
9
Indian Spirit 33/1
-
10
Houstonn 40/1
-
11
Studious 33/1
-
12
Helm Rock 10/1
-
—
Patricia R -
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Dixieland Blues 10/3 5TH
-
2
Song N Dance 15/2 SP 7/2J 🏆 WON
-
3
First Ambition 11/2 🥉 3RD
-
4
Knights Gold 5/1 7TH