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Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Hidden Fortune
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/11 SP 5/4F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Hidden Fortune (SR 161, 10/11) is comfortably the classiest horse in this field by a wide margin — 21 points clear of second-best Cadillac Ranch (SR 140) and 46 points above Ride Like A Girl (SR 115). Dan Skelton (21% strike rate, 1237 runners) and Harry Skelton (28%, 716 runners) are a formidable combination in novice hurdles, and the form line 1/22-1 shows a horse that bounces back from placed efforts to win. The 117-day absence is a mild flag, and the 5% market drift is worth noting, but in a Class 4 novice with this SR advantage, the Skelton operation rarely leaves a horse underdone for a straightforward assignment. Ride Like A Girl is the principal danger on market confidence and recent form, but her SR 115 leaves a significant quality gap. Each-way alternative: Ride Like A Girl. Main danger: Ride Like A Girl — Ride Like A Girl (SR 115, 5/2) has steamed in 19% in the market, carries a favourable 11-0, holds DistFit:+ at this trip, and Jamie Snowden (25% strike rate) with Gavin Sheehan (20%) is a sharp novice-hurdle pairing — the market is telling a clear story about recency and confidence that Hidden Fortune's 117-day absence may not be able to counter.
Full result
Winner: Hidden Fortune (IRE) at SP 5/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Hidden Fortune Fox #1 10/11
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2
Ride Like A Girl Fox #2 3/1
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3
Provision 5/1
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4
Rose Warrior 125/1
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5
Cadillac Ranch Fox #3 11/1
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6
Secret Beach 13/2
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Pretty Darn Quick 200/1
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Evenly 80/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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3