← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Cleansing Service Group Novice Stakes (gbb Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Najidi Storm
HIGH Advised 1/16 Est. 82%
Mr Fox says
Najidi Storm (SR 158, 1/16) is in a different class to this field entirely — a 12-point SR advantage over the next-best Wreck It Ronnie (SR 146) and a 31-point chasm over Dream Of Albion (SR 127). The 1/16 price reflects a near-certainty market verdict on a horse that won on debut (Form:1) and steps up in class to face two rivals with uninspiring recent form. Carrying 9-11 versus both rivals on 9-4 is a slight weight concession, but with an SR gap this wide on good ground over a trip none have been tested over, the quality differential is simply too large to overcome. Harry Charlton's 17% strike rate with Lewis Edmunds aboard gives no grounds for concern despite the jockey's modest overall numbers. Each-way alternative: Wreck It Ronnie. Main danger: Wreck It Ronnie — Wreck It Ronnie's SR 146 is the only remotely competitive figure in the field and, while its 8% market drift is a negative signal, it is 7lb better off at the weights than Najidi Storm — the sole scenario where it could be involved is if the favourite fails to handle the step up in class or trip on unfamiliar going.
Full result
Winner: Wreck It Ronnie (FR) at SP 10/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Wreck It Ronnie Fox #2 10/1
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2
Najidi Storm Fox #1 1/20
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3
Dream Of Albion Fox #3 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3