← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Marengo Storm
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Marengo Storm (SR 94, 3/1) is the clear SR leader in this field by a meaningful margin and drops two class tiers, which is a significant advantage in a Class 4 sprint handicap at Goodwood. The form string 51215 is solid and consistent — a recent fifth followed by a winning run and another placed effort — showing a horse that competes well at a higher level than today's. Carrying 9-11 is a manageable weight in this company, and at 3 years old there is natural progression still in the frame. The 8% market drift is a mild concern and worth acknowledging, but the class drop plus the SR dominance (14 points clear of second-best Old Is Gold) outweighs that signal, and the drift may simply reflect the going query (GoingFit:?) rather than any fundamental concern from connections. Each-way alternative: Old Is Gold. Main danger: Old Is Gold — Old Is Gold (SR 87, 13/8) is shortening 9% in the market, carries Oisin Murphy, drops two class tiers with Andrew Balding's strong 19% strike rate behind it, and is proven on Good going — the distance concern (DistFit:-) is the only real brake on its chance.
Full result
Winner: Old Is Gold (IRE) at SP 6/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Old Is Gold Fox #2 7/4
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2
Brosay 18/1
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3
Mister Bluebird Fox #3 4/1
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4
Arry Up 12/1
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5
Marengo Storm Fox #1 3/1
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6
An Outlaw's Grace 15/2
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7
Born Slippy 12/1
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—
Atticum 10/1
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Evie Ross 22/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Marengo Storm 3/1 5TH
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2
Old Is Gold 13/8 SP 6/4F 🏆 WON
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3
Mister Bluebird 8/1 🥉 3RD