← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Dale Hall And Hickman Associates Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Knicks
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Knicks (SR:63, 3/1) shares the highest SR in the field but carries 9-9 — the same weight as Act Of Violence yet with the significant advantage of market confidence, having steamed in 19% from opening price. The Easterby yard runs at 9% but Joanna Mason is 11% across her career, and the tongue-tie application signals connections are trying to unlock improvement. The drop of one class (↓1) into Class 6 at a competitive price, combined with the market move, points to stable confidence. While GoingFit:- is a concern on good-to-soft, the market money arriving at 3/1 suggests connections believe the conditions are manageable, and at 5f the going plays less of a role than over longer trips. Each-way alternative: Toptime. Main danger: Toptime — Toptime (SR:61, 8/1) is the only runner with DistFit:+ at 5f, has a recent form string of 4-3132 showing genuine consistency at this class, and carries only 9-8 — 1lb less than Knicks — making it the most distance-proven horse in the field at a workable price.
Full result
Winner: Sergeant Mayer (IRE) at SP 16/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Sergeant Mayer 11/1
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2
Act Of Violence Fox #4 4/1
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3
Knicks Fox #1 7/2
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4
Just King High 33/1
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5
Staniel Cay Fox #3 11/2
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6
Black Missile 4/1
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7
Toptime Fox #2 15/2
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8
Overbudget 28/1
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9
Jojo Rabbit 15/2
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10
Our Planet 28/1
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11
Ezra Cee 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Knicks 3/1 🥉 3RD
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2
Toptime 8/1 7TH
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3
Staniel Cay 7/1 5TH
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4
Act Of Violence 4/1 🥈 2ND