← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Donnellys Of Barna Rated Race
Mr Fox’s call
Lord Massusus
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 SP 5/1 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Lord Massusus (SR 87, 3/1) carries the highest SR in the field and the market has backed that view strongly — a 14% inward move since opening is a meaningful signal of informed support. While the form string reads 678050 and both DistFit and GoingFit are negative, the tongue-tie plus blinker (HG:tb) headgear combination suggests the yard is actively trying to unlock something, and the 10-day turnaround at a 9% trainer strike rate indicates a horse managed for this specific target. At 10-0 he carries top weight, but the SR gap over the field (87 vs 86 next best) and the clear market confidence outweigh that concern in a modest €12k prize. Lady Arwen is the each-way pick; the danger is Lady Arwen herself whose recent 016011 form is the most convincing in-form sequence in the race. Each-way alternative: Lady Arwen. Main danger: Lady Arwen — Lady Arwen's 016011 form sequence is the strongest recent form in the race, W J Lee is a 14% career jockey, and at 9-1 she carries 13lb less than Lord Massusus — a significant weight advantage that could offset the SR gap on good ground.
Full result
Winner: Lord Massusus (IRE) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Lord Massusus Fox #1 7/2
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2
Lady Arwen Fox #2 10/3
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3
Casamorati 11/1
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4
Java Wood Fox #4 11/2
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5
Eddie G 6/1
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6
Clear Quartz 17/2
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7
Never Loose Fox #3 4/1
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—
Musical Act 28/1
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—
Amenita 16/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Lord Massusus 3/1 SP 5/1 🏆 WON
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2
Lady Arwen 9/2 🥈 2ND
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3
Never Loose 7/2 7TH
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4
Java Wood 7/1 🏁 4TH