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Mr Fox’s call
Tee Aitch Aye
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Tee Aitch Aye (SR:75, 10/3) arrives off a last-time-out win just 7 days ago, form reading 076321 — progressive trajectory into today's Class 5 step up. The SR of 75 is competitive for this grade, and running off the same mark as the last win (MarkMv:=) means the handicapper has not yet raised him, preserving the winning edge. Jockey Jack Nicholls (12% strike rate) provides adequate experience, and the light weight of 9-4 is a genuine advantage over Zermatt Star and Hostility at 9-5/9-7. The market has drifted slightly (out8%) which is a mild concern, but the recency of the win and the favourable weight allocation outweigh that signal in a moderate Class 5 field. Each-way alternative: Hostility. Main danger: Zermatt Star — Zermatt Star (SR:77, 3/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field with a last-time-out win, running off the same mark (MarkMv:=), and despite a minor drift of 5% the market still has it as the clear favourite — that SR advantage combined with the light weight of 9-5 makes it the most obvious threat to the selection.
Full result
Winner: Barley (IRE) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Barley Fox #4 13/2
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2
Zermatt Star Fox #2 4/1
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3
Bellasio 11/2
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4
Swift Salian 16/1
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5
Spiritoftheblues 11/1
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6
Arkenstaar 33/1
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7
Rewired 40/1
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8
Albemagic 16/1
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9
Hostility Fox #3 7/2
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Tee Aitch Aye Fox #1 10/3
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—
Epidavros 20/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Tee Aitch Aye 10/3
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2
Zermatt Star 3/1 🥈 2ND
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3
Hostility 11/2 9TH
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4
Barley 15/2 SP 4/1 🏆 WON