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Mr Fox’s call
Tinsel
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Tinsel (SR:66, 9/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and has steamed in 42% in the market — the most significant move of any runner — signalling strong stable confidence. At 9-7 she carries a favourable weight relative to Birthday Angel (10-0) and Uzincso (9-12), giving her a real pounds edge over most rivals despite holding the top SR. The ClassMv:↓1 drop into Class 6 suits a horse whose recent 61-494 form shows ability at higher levels, and the 14-day turnaround with tongue-tie retained suggests connections are deliberately targeting this race. Hughie Morrison (10% strike rate, 172 runners) is a solid handler at this level, and Callum Hutchinson at 12% is a competent booking for a horse connections clearly fancy. Each-way alternative: Brave New World. Main danger: Brave New World — Brave New World (SR:57, 5/1) has shortened 11% in the market, is trained by Ed Walker (15% strike rate, 894 runners — a strong yard) with Tom Marquand up (13%, 1,218 runners), drops ClassMv:↓1, and at 9-4 carries 3lb less than Tinsel — enough to matter if the form gap between SR:57 and SR:66 is overstated at this level.
Full result
Winner: Katalyst (GB) at SP 22/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Katalyst 33/1
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2
Goldfinder 7/1
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3
Wyvill 10/1
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4
Birthday Angel Fox #3 5/1
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5
Maywedance 20/1
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6
Uzincso Fox #4 9/2
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7
Luminous Approach 12/1
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8
Brave New World Fox #2 5/1
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9
Tinsel Fox #1 9/2
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10
Battle Hymn 14/1
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11
Backer Bilk 22/1
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12
Minerality 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Tinsel 9/2 9TH
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2
Brave New World 5/1 8TH
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3
Birthday Angel 5/1 🏁 4TH
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4
Uzincso 9/2 6TH