← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Racing TV Free Trial Starts Tomorrow EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Benbecula
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Benbecula (SR 152, 11/4) leads the field on ability and has been backed heavily — a 21% market move inward is a strong signal that connections are confident stepping down one class. Kevin Stott's booking is a positive, and at 9-7 he carries the same weight as most rivals. The drop in class (↓1) from its debut fifth, combined with the sharp market move, suggests a performance better than the bare result last time, and SR 152 is comfortably the highest ceiling in this field. Kirton Angel (SR 154) drifted 26% and carries a useful 5lb less, but that market drift is a red flag that overrides the raw SR edge. Each-way alternative: Through The Gate. Main danger: Kirton Angel — Kirton Angel carries SR 154 — the highest in the field — and at 9-2 enjoys a 5lb weight advantage over Benbecula; if the 26% drift reflects merely a long absence (61 days) rather than a fitness concern, Fahey's yard dropping two classes with a superior-rated filly could easily reverse the result.
Full result
Winner: Through The Gate (IRE) at SP 6/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Through The Gate Fox #3 5/1
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2
Blue Pete 5/1
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3
Pulse Of Fire Fox #4 5/1
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4
Benbecula Fox #1 7/4
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5
Sweet Distraction 100/1
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6
Sankhum Galaxy 300/1
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7
Kirton Angel Fox #2 10/3
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Deputy Vice 5/1
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Eagles Eternal 28/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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3
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4