← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Constant Security Services Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Sweet Kiss
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Sweet Kiss leads the field on SR (70) and carries a competitive 9-7, giving her a meaningful ability edge over the next-best runners. The 18% market steam is the strongest inbound move in the field — the money is clearly on her — and her course form (W0P1 at Redcar) adds familiarity. Her recent form string 456262 shows consistent competitiveness at this level and her ClassMv:= confirms she's not being asked to step up in class. The GoingFit:- is a flag worth noting, but the market support overrides that concern here — connections are evidently satisfied she can handle today's conditions. Each-way alternative: Al Fujairah. Main danger: Al Fujairah — Al Fujairah (SR 68, 9/2) is the second-highest-rated runner, drops a class, and carries the same weight as Golden Caviar with an untested but not unfavourable going/distance profile — a progressive 3yo dropping in grade could outrun his slight drift.
Full result
Winner: Lady Hornblower (GB) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Lady Hornblower 11/1
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2
Sweet Kiss Fox #1 2/1
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3
Cosmic Man 12/1
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4
Idyllic Fox #3 11/2
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5
Al Fujairah Fox #2 5/1
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6
Golden Caviar 8/1
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7
Titian 10/1
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8
Hey Havana 7/1
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9
Sutton Hoo 28/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Sweet Kiss 9/4 🥈 2ND
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2
Al Fujairah 9/2 5TH
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3
Idyllic 11/2 🏁 4TH