← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Whitegates Nursery Northallerton Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
Saint Polo
SPECULATIVE Advised 15/8 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Saint Polo (SR 122, 15/8) is the Candlish yard's #1 runner here — younger jockey Luke Scott gets the nod over the yard's second string Pergamon, and Scott's 13% career strike rate is meaningfully better than William Shanahan's 5%. The form string -71113 shows three consecutive wins going into this race, and the horse ran just 2 days ago suggesting connections are deliberately freshening it up for this specific target. Course:W1P1 at Sedgefield is a concrete advantage in a tiny 4-runner field, and GoingFit:+ confirms it handles today's good ground. The ClassMv:= means it faces the same tier as its recent winning runs, and at 11-2 it carries 6lb less than the top-weights Pergamon and King Ulanda, a meaningful edge on this ground. Each-way alternative: King Ulanda. Main danger: King Ulanda — King Ulanda (SR 116, 5/2) has GoingFit:+ confirmed, Jack Tudor is a high-quality booking at 10% career strike rate from 485 rides, and the most recent form figure of 1 means it arrives in winning form at the same class level — it has the tools to peg Saint Polo back.
Full result
Winner: Pergamon (FR) at SP 13/8. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Pergamon Fox #3 11/8
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2
Max Of Stars 7/2
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3
King Ulanda Fox #2 11/8
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Saint Polo Fox #1 SP
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3