← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Betfred Champagne Stakes (Group 2)
Mr Fox’s call
Desert Castle
SPECULATIVE Advised 8/13 SP 1/1F Est. 48%
Mr Fox says
Desert Castle (SR 114, 8/13) is the standout selection. Charlie Appleby's operation fires at a remarkable 33% career strike rate from 829 runners — the highest in this field by a considerable margin — and Billy Loughnane's booking (18%) reinforces stable confidence. The 22% market shortening is the most aggressive move in the race and signals that connections and informed money are strongly behind this horse stepping up two class tiers. While SR 114 isn't the field-high — Sergei Diaghilev leads on 117 — Desert Castle's explosive single-run form figure of '1' combined with Appleby's elite juvenile record in Group 2s at this time of year makes this a compelling case that the raw SR may already be behind the horse's true ability. The field is level on weight at 9-2 throughout, so no handicapping edge exists elsewhere. Each-way alternative: Sergei Diaghilev. Main danger: Sergei Diaghilev — Sergei Diaghilev carries the field's highest SR of 117, has proven distance fitness (DistFit:+), and a recent '1' on the end of his 1-9-1 form string suggests a horse returning to winning ways — Aidan O'Brien at 23% with a specific seven-furlong angle is always dangerous at Doncaster.
Full result
Winner: Desert Castle (GB) at SP 1/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Desert Castle Fox #1 4/5
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2
Sergei Diaghilev Fox #2 4/1
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3
Breacher 8/1
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4
Gentle Hurricane Fox #3 5/1
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5
Silver Dominion 25/1
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Rosberg 16/1
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Confucius
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Perfect Nation
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Rock Montreal
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Aix La Chapelle
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Camarda Rc
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Thebesthasyetocome
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Weleyff
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Zero Error
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Al Hudaiba
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Agrippa
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Byzantine
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Engraved
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Florida Bay
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Folsom Blues
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Grove Street
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Haffner
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Launch Sequence
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Giant Sequoia
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Hereward
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Ruler's Control
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Soldier Of The Sea
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Sonic Angel
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South Dakota
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Desert Castle 8/13 SP 1/1F 🏆 WON
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2
Sergei Diaghilev 5/1 🥈 2ND
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3
Gentle Hurricane 6/1 🏁 4TH